Lottery Odds

Team Record Seed Chances 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Hurricanes 18-64 1 140 .140 .134 .127 .120 .479
Stars Knights 20-62 2 140 .140 .134 .127 .120 .278 .200
Colonels Cyclones 23-59 3 140 .140 .134 .127 .120 .148 .260 .070
Cyclones Fireballs 25-57 4 125 .125 .122 .119 .115 .072 .257 .167 .022
Barons 27-55 5 105 .105 .105 .106 .105 .022 .196 .267 .087 .006
Lightning Thunder 28-54 6 90 .090 .092 .094 .096 .086 .298 .206 .037 .001
Crusaders Mustangs 29-53 7 68 .075 .078 .081 .085 .197 .341 .129 .013 .000
Rockets Dragons 29-53 8 67 .060 .063 .067 .072 .345 .321 .067 .004 .000
Tritons Knights 30-52 9 38 .045 .048 .052 .057 .507 .259 .030 .001 .000
Renegades 30-52 10 37 .030 .033 .036 .040 .659 .190 .012 .000 .000
Scorpions Lightning 31-51 11 20 .020 .022 .024 .028 .776 .126 .004 .000
Vipers Jailbirds 32-50 12 15 .015 .017 .019 .021 .861 .067 .001
Thunder 37-45 13 10 .010 .011 .012 .014 .929 .023
Predators 43-39 14 5 .005 .006 .006 .007 .976
Playoff Teams (East): Bullets (60-22) Kings (60-22) Huskies (57-25) Drones (49-33) Jailbirds (48-34) Warriors (44-38) Mustangs (43-39) Devils (38-44)
Playoff Teams (West): Jaguars (59-23) Lumberjacks (59-23) Dragons (59-23) Fireballs (57-25) Knights (51-31) Blizzards (49-33) Skyhawks (48-34) Vultures (47-35)


  • All teams missing the playoffs are in the Lottery.
  • Teams with worse records get more chances at winning a top four pick (more combinations).
  • The 1st overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • The 2nd overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • The 3rd overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • The 4th overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • Remaining lottery teams, sorted by record, fill out picks 5-14.
  • Playoff teams, sorted by record, are assigned picks 15-30 - playoff seeds and outcomes have no impact.
  • Random drawing decides who picks first between teams with same record.
  • Tied lottery teams split their chances evenly, and any odd remainder and the better draft order position are given to the random drawing winner.
  • Second round is ordered by record without playoff consideration.
  • Second round ties are in reverse order of the teams' first round picks.

Lottery Simulator

Hit the "Sim Lottery" button to display a possible lottery using the above odds.
Lotteries Simulated: 4317