Draft Odds

Team Record Seed Chances 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
- 1 140 .140 .134 .127 .120 .479
- 2 140 .140 .134 .127 .120 .278 .200
- 3 133 .140 .134 .127 .120 .148 .260 .070
- 4 115 .125 .122 .119 .115 .072 .257 .167 .022
- 5 98 .105 .105 .106 .105 .022 .196 .267 .087 .006
- 6 83 .090 .092 .094 .096 .086 .298 .206 .037 .001
- 7 68 .075 .078 .081 .085 .197 .341 .129 .013 .000
- 8 53 .060 .063 .067 .072 .345 .321 .067 .004 .000
- 9 38 .045 .048 .052 .057 .507 .259 .030 .001 .000
- 10 25 .030 .033 .036 .040 .659 .190 .012 .000 .000
- 11 18 .020 .022 .024 .028 .776 .126 .004 .000
- 12 13 .015 .017 .019 .021 .861 .067 .001
- 13 8 .010 .011 .012 .014 .929 .023
- 14 7 .005 .006 .006 .007 .976
Playoff Teams (East): (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-)
Playoff Teams (West): (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-)


  • All teams missing the playoffs are in the Lottery.
  • Teams with worse records get more chances at winning a top four pick (more combinations).
  • The 1st overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • The 2nd overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • The 3rd overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • The 4th overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • Remaining lottery teams, sorted by record, fill out picks 5-14.
  • Playoff teams, sorted by record, are assigned picks 15-30 - playoff seeds and outcomes have no impact.
  • Random drawing decides who picks first between teams with same record.
  • Tied lottery teams split their chances evenly, and any odd remainder and the better draft order position are given to the random drawing winner.
  • Second round is ordered by record without playoff consideration.
  • Second round ties are in reverse order of the teams' first round picks.

Lottery Simulator

Hit the "Sim Lottery" button to display a possible lottery using the above odds.