Lottery Odds

Team Record Seed Chances 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Colonels 2-11 1 140 .140 .134 .127 .120 .479
Devils 2-11 2 140 .140 .134 .127 .120 .278 .200
Barons 2-10 3 133 .140 .134 .127 .120 .148 .260 .070
Lightning Colonels 2-10 4 132 .125 .122 .119 .115 .072 .257 .167 .022
Hurricanes 3-11 5 98 .105 .105 .106 .105 .022 .196 .267 .087 .006
Rockets Dragons 3-11 6 83 .090 .092 .094 .096 .086 .298 .206 .037 .001
Crusaders 3-10 7 82 .075 .078 .081 .085 .197 .341 .129 .013 .000
Cyclones 4-9 8 53 .060 .063 .067 .072 .345 .321 .067 .004 .000
Stars 4-9 9 52 .045 .048 .052 .057 .507 .259 .030 .001 .000
Tritons 5-9 10 30 .030 .033 .036 .040 .659 .190 .012 .000 .000
Renegades 7-7 11 18 .020 .022 .024 .028 .776 .126 .004 .000
Blizzards 7-6 12 13 .015 .017 .019 .021 .861 .067 .001
Vultures 7-6 13 8 .010 .011 .012 .014 .929 .023
Knights Jailbirds 7-5 14 7 .005 .006 .006 .007 .976
Playoff Teams (East): Bullets (11-3) Huskies (10-4) Mustangs (8-4) Kings (8-4) Vipers (8-6) Jailbirds (8-6) Drones (7-6) Warriors (8-7)
Playoff Teams (West): Jaguars (10-3) Scorpions (10-3) Thunder (10-4) Lumberjacks (9-4) Predators (9-4) Dragons (8-5) Skyhawks (8-5) Fireballs (8-5)


  • All teams missing the playoffs are in the Lottery.
  • Teams with worse records get more chances at winning a top four pick (more combinations).
  • The 1st overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • The 2nd overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • The 3rd overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • The 4th overall pick is awarded by a random selection based on the percentages above.
  • Remaining lottery teams, sorted by record, fill out picks 5-14.
  • Playoff teams, sorted by record, are assigned picks 15-30 - playoff seeds and outcomes have no impact.
  • Random drawing decides who picks first between teams with same record.
  • Tied lottery teams split their chances evenly, and any odd remainder and the better draft order position are given to the random drawing winner.
  • Second round is ordered by record without playoff consideration.
  • Second round ties are in reverse order of the teams' first round picks.

Lottery Simulator

Hit the "Sim Lottery" button to display a possible lottery using the above odds.
Lotteries Simulated: 3377