Analyzing Recent Mocks 2.0

  • By Austin Simpson, Day 163, 2025


CHICAGO -

1. Mitchell Butler Jr - PG - North Carolina (Prev. 1)
Average Draft #: 1.33
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #1
Lowest: #2
Note: May not go #1 depending on the team, but is the likely #1 pick.
Range: Top 2 Lock

2. Jae Lawson - SF/PF – Oregon (Prev. 8)
Average Draft #: 2
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #1
Lowest: #3
Note: Lawson was drafted #1-3 in recent mocks so the consensus says he’s a top player. Again, depending on whom ends up with #1 he could be the selection there. He’s one of the biggest movers compared to the last version, moving up 6 spots.
Range: Top 3 Lock

3. Malique Farmer - PF – Arizona (Prev. 2)
Average Draft #: 2.67
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #2
Lowest: #3
Note: Farmer is still in the mix for the #1 selection depending on the team, but looks to be behind Butler + Lawson at this point.
Range: Top 3 Lock

4. Vacha Alston - SF – Villanova (Prev. 6)
Average Draft #: 6
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #4
Lowest: #9
Note: I think Alston is closer to a top 5 pick than a top 10 pick
Range: Top 5 Likely, Top 10 Lock

5. Michel Saint-Jean – PG - Michigan State (Prev. 11)
Average Draft #: 7
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #4
Lowest: #11
Note: I think Bloom pushes MSJ out of the top 5, but he’s still a likely top 10 pick
Range: Top 10 Lock

6. Tyson Rogers - SF/SG - Kansas State (Prev. 9)
Average Draft #: 7.33
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #6
Lowest: #8
Note: Pretty consistent drafting with Rogers for a team that needs defense on the wing
Range: Top 10 Lock

7. Kieron Bloom – PG – HS (Prev. NR)
Average Draft #: 8
# Times drafted: 2
Highest: #5
Lowest: #11
Note: If Bloom declared I think he goes before Bender in Comey’s mock – although he made a case for both sides. Once the lottery order is set and we have the final mock drafts we will find Bloom in the top 5 range.
Range: Top 5 Likely, Top 10 Lock

8. Jarrell Ford - SF – Texas (Prev. 4)
Average Draft #: 8.33
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #6
Lowest: #12
Note: Ford is still a top 10 pick with his injury, I think there are some specific teams focused in on him.
Range: Top 10 Lock

9. Chris Dillinger - C - Butler (Prev. 3)
Average Draft #: 9
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #5
Lowest: #15
Note: Reportedly “too high” for a top 5 pick, he has slid. Kyle + I were probably a little harsh on Dillinger, but the pieces fell how we felt they could. Still we were an outlier and I feel Dillinger is still a Top 10 pick
Range: Top 10 Lock

10. Ricky Jackson Jr. - SG - Wake Forest (Prev. 5)
Average Draft #: 9.67
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #9
Lowest: #10
Note: I think RJJ is good for a top 10 pick, but likely towards the end of that range
Range: Top 10 Lock

11. Quentin Brookhart - SG - West Virginia (Prev. 12)
Average Draft #: 11.33
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #9
Lowest: #15
Note: Comey flipped his script on Brookhart moving him from 22 to 9, a similar spot to my mock with Kyle. I think Brookhart has the widest range of all potential lottery picks and it’s shown in our mock drafts.
Range: Lottery Likely, Mid 1st Lock

12. Andre Bender - PG – Kentucky (Prev. 7)
Average Draft #: 12.33
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #4
Lowest: #17
Note: If Comey takes Bloom at #4 in his mock, Bender falls down this list. Like Brookhart Bender has a wide range.
Range: Top 10 Possible, Mid 1st Lock

13. Adonis Gatling - PF - North Carolina (Prev. 10)
Average Draft #: 14.67
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #8
Lowest: #22
Note: Jron + Calvin are still big on Gatling and I can see it for the right team in the right situation.
Range: Lottery Likely, Mid-1st lock

14. Travon Cage - C - Arizona State (Prev. 13)
Average Draft #: 15
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #7
Lowest: #23
Note: Cage slid in Kyle + Austin’s Mock again so maybe it could happen. Another guy with a wide draft range it seems.
Range: Lottery Likely, Mid 1st Lock

15. Vince Collier - SG - North Carolina (Prev. 21)
Average Draft #: 15
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #12
Lowest: #19
Note: Kyle + I had Collier drop out of the lottery, which is possible but unlikely
Range: Lottery Likely, Mid 1st Lock

16. Joseph Turner - C - Michigan State (Prev. 23)
Average Draft #: 15.33
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #12
Lowest: #17
Note: Turner was another big riser on this list and I believe certain GM’s are hoping he falls to them
Range: Lottery Possible, Mid 1st Lock

17. Antoine Bolden - SF – Arkansas (Prev. 27)
Average Draft #: 16
# Times drafted: 2
Highest: #11
Lowest: #21
Note: I think Kyle reached for Bolden at #11 in our mock by a large margin. If he’s your guy you can likely get him in the 16-20 range safely
Range: Mid 1st Likely, Late 1st Lock

18. Denzel Graves - PG – Oklahoma (Prev. 17)
Average Draft #: 17.67
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #16
Lowest: #19
Note: Graves was consistently mocked again. If you’re targeting him, you now know where the league thinks he’s going to go.
Range: Mid 1st Lock

19. Jack Dawson - SF - George Washington (Prev. 14)
Average Draft #: 20.67
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #18
Lowest: #24
Note: Dawson isn’t likely coming out this year and Commish confirmed this belief again. Not set in stone but prepare for him to be coming back to George Washington next season.
Range: Not Declaring Likely, Mid 1st Lock

20. CJ Williams - SG/SF- Kentucky (Prev. 19)
Average Draft #: 20.67
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #13
Lowest: #29
Note: We are still a little split on Williams and that could come down to coaches’ scouting. A pick range of Late Lottery – end of 1st is pretty wide open.
Range: Mid 1st likely, Late 1st Lock

21. Deron Eleby - PF – Georgia Tech (Prev. 20)
Average Draft #: 21
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #20
Lowest: #22
Note: Eleby is pretty consistently mocked in the early 20’s – good bet as a target spot
Range: Mid 1st Likely, Late 1st Lock

22. Bo Anderson - PF/SF – Duke (Prev. 18)
Average Draft #: 21.33
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #16
Lowest: #29
Note: We have talked about Bo and the interesting thing is I had him ranked the highest the first time and Comey the lowest, now we have switched roles! I think with Anderson it falls into team systems. He needs the right system and that gives him a wide range. He could very well fall on draft day.
Range: Mid 1st Likely, Late 1st Lock

23. Menelik Sullivan - PF – Indiana (Prev. 16)
Average Draft #: 22
# Times drafted: 2
Highest: #18
Lowest: #26
Note: Sullivan wasn’t drafted by Jron + Calvin again and dropped a little in the other mocks. I wonder if he also will return to school where he could be a lottery lock next year.
Range: Not Declaring Likely, Late 1st Lock

24. Damien Jensen - SG – Gonzaga (Prev. 15)
Average Draft #: 23
# Times drafted: 2
Highest: #22
Lowest: #24
Note: Jensen is also likely returning to Gonzaga, imo
Range: Not Declaring Likely, Late 1st Lock

25. Deji Ali - PG – Miami (Prev. 25)
Average Draft #: 24.5
# Times drafted: 2
Highest: #24
Lowest: #25
Note: Ali missed the cut in our mock, but was right there.
Range: Late 1st Lock

26. Montraz Cape – PG – Michigan (Prev. 22)
Average Draft #: 25.5
# Times drafted: 2
Highest: #23
Lowest: #28
Note: Cape made it in this time in our mock with one of the late picks
Range: Late 1st Lock

27. Sheldon Granger - SG – Arkansas (Prev. 26)
Average Draft #: 25.67
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #25
Lowest: #27
Range: Late 1st Lock

28. Axel Frazier - SG – Alabama (Prev. 24)
Average Draft #: 26
# Times drafted: 3
Highest: #25
Lowest: #27
Range: Late 1st Lock


The Rest:
Donta Contrell, Antwon Rivers, Terrance Barton, Kendrick Shaw, Obij Udenyi, RaMond Jordan, Octavious Moore, were all only selected once.
Range: Late 1st Possible, 2nd Round Likely, No Lock!